Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.000608 0.000699 0.000796 0.000906 0.001028 0.001158 0.001308
2025-05-11 0.000454 0.000576 0.000716 0.000886 0.001087 0.001313 0.001587
2025-05-18 0.000387 0.000524 0.000689 0.000899 0.001155 0.001455 0.001829
2025-05-25 0.000331 0.000477 0.000660 0.000902 0.001207 0.001574 0.002045
2025-06-01 0.000275 0.000422 0.000612 0.000873 0.001213 0.001633 0.002185
2025-06-08 0.000231 0.000375 0.000570 0.000846 0.001216 0.001685 0.002314
2025-06-15 0.000203 0.000347 0.000549 0.000844 0.001248 0.001772 0.002487
2025-06-22 0.000179 0.000322 0.000530 0.000842 0.001280 0.001857 0.002657
2025-06-29 0.000156 0.000296 0.000507 0.000831 0.001297 0.001922 0.002802
2025-07-06 0.000135 0.000271 0.000482 0.000815 0.001304 0.001972 0.002927
2025-07-13 0.000126 0.000262 0.000481 0.000834 0.001361 0.002091 0.003147
2025-07-20 0.000115 0.000251 0.000476 0.000846 0.001408 0.002198 0.003351
2025-07-27 0.000101 0.000233 0.000457 0.000836 0.001423 0.002259 0.003497
2025-08-03 0.000088 0.000213 0.000435 0.000819 0.001426 0.002304 0.003620
2025-08-10 0.000080 0.000205 0.000431 0.000831 0.001472 0.002412 0.003833
2025-08-17 0.000073 0.000194 0.000422 0.000833 0.001503 0.002498 0.004017
2025-08-24 0.000062 0.000175 0.000396 0.000806 0.001487 0.002513 0.004098
2025-08-31 0.000052 0.000159 0.000373 0.000781 0.001472 0.002528 0.004179
2025-09-07 0.000047 0.000149 0.000363 0.000778 0.001494 0.002598 0.004341
2025-09-14 0.000042 0.000141 0.000354 0.000777 0.001516 0.002670 0.004506
2025-09-21 0.000036 0.000131 0.000341 0.000767 0.001523 0.002718 0.004637
2025-09-28 0.000031 0.000120 0.000326 0.000751 0.001520 0.002750 0.004744
2025-10-05 0.000030 0.000118 0.000328 0.000769 0.001575 0.002873 0.004990